[stock-ticker]
+150 Rooms in the AAPL Hedge Fund Motel

+150 Rooms in the AAPL Hedge Fund Motel as they wake up this morning and see it’s on fire. How will their animal spirits react is our biggest question. The answer is below. 


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Common Sense Crisis

Gap in fundamentals is a common sense crisis,it’s predicable & avoidable,but an excess dominance of FED is the root.


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NAS100 H&S

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FED has to rekindle animal spirits of belief system or suffer adverse effects by participants. The largest company in the world AAPL put a dent into the FED’s narrative of multiple expansions will be coming. Screen Shot 2016-04-26 at 7.29.12 PM

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SPX Trades on 2014 Projections

SPX trades on June 2014 EPS estimates of 2100 as the market is expecting a multiple expansion. Current day EPS estimates are at 1500. Fundamentals are truly wide from reality, and as we saw AAPL miss on revenue it should be an awakening to the market. Screen Shot 2016-04-26 at 6.35.31 PM Screen Shot 2016-04-26 at 6.35.28 PM

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VIX Geometrical Formation signaling

VIX is constructing a notable geometrical formation called a right angle descending broadening wedge. The main question will the central bank trading desks i.e. Citadel let this geometrical formation construct. A Fidelity analyst on BBG this morning hit the trading thesis of today’s market correctly. Its about speculating on the next asset or commodity a central bank will target. 

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10YR of Oil Production of all 13 Member OPEC

10YR of Oil Production of all 13 Member OPEC

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Fireworks in June

The White House could release a set of documents in June indicating the house of SAUD at direction involvement in 9/11. In response, the house of SAUD said their government would liquidating $750 billion in US Assets upon release. Screen Shot 2016-04-25 at 8.20.26 PM Screen Shot 2016-04-25 at 8.21.21 PM

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TED Spread Continues to Signal

TED Spread continues elevation of Credit Risk. VIX has a strong positive correlation when TED is elevated.2016-04-25_17-17-06

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Headlines signaling Job market Peak

We notice an interesting reoccurrence of cycle peaks of the job market and specific headlines released by Gov’t/FED via wire houses. Two precedents dating back to the Dot Com and 2008 peak in the job markets saw high distribution of headlines such as “best job market: in years. The FED is merely fulfilling it’s dual mandate protecting the economy from the next shock. 


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